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Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
Arouca

Maritimo
2 - 2
Arouca

Viana (35'), Alipour (45+11' pen.)
Vidigal (7'), Xadas (36'), Rossi (48'), Costa (90+1')
Vidigal (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bukia (8'), Silva (82')
Miguel Pereira Da Silva (36'), Silva (45+3'), Filipe Alves Araujo (47'), Basso (61'), Kouassi (85'), Dabbagh (90+5')

Preview: Maritimo vs. Arouca - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Maritimo and Arouca meet in Primeira Liga on Monday evening knowing that victory at Estadio dos Barreiros could catapult them up the table.

These two clubs have only posted one victory apiece from four fixtures, leaving them in 11th and 15th position respectively.


Match preview

After the stress of narrowly avoiding relegation last season, everyone associated with Maritimo would have been less than enthused about their opening four fixtures

However, the Green-and-Reds will be more than satisfied with four points from as many games, the standout result being a 1-1 draw at home to Porto.

The 2-1 reverse at in-form Estoril before the international break would have hurt Julio Velazquez and his squad, but they are scheduled to play more favourable fixtures over the coming weeks.

While none of this group of players have netted more than once this campaign, left-sided Vitor Costa has already chipped in with two assists.

Velazquez cannot be happy with his side's efforts in the final third, an opinion which will be shared by opposite number Armando Evangelista.

On the back of finishing in third place in the second tier, not much is expected of Arouca, particularly with the newcomers failing to score in three of their four games this season.

Nevertheless, two of those encounters were away at Benfica and Porto, their sole success coming against potential relegation rivals Famalicao.

Evangelista is still attempting to establish his strongest starting XI with as many as 22 players having been given game time throughout August.

However, the 47-year-old will be grateful for the competition for places at a time when only defender Thales can claim to have made a consistent start to life in the top division.

Maritimo Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Maritimo form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Arouca Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Arouca form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Despite losing out to Estoril last time out, Velazquez is not expected to make widespread alterations to his Maritimo XI.

Joel Tagueu is back on contention after recovering from a shoulder injury which has kept him sidelined since the opening weekend.

Pedro Pelagio may be handed a recall in central midfield, taking the place of either Ivan Rossi or Diogo Mendes.

Arouca will be without Sema Velazquez after the defender sustained an injury while on international duty with Venezuela.

Abdoulaye Ba is in line to be drafted in as his replacement, while young forward Tiago Araujo is pushing for his first start of the season.

Maritimo possible starting lineup:
Victor; Junior, Saenz, Andrade; Winck, Xadas, Pelagio, Mendes, Costa; Vidigal, Alipour

Arouca possible starting lineup:
Castro; Thales, Ba, Basso, Quaresma; Valderrama, Silva, Moreira; Bukia, Silva, Arsenio


SM words green background

We say: Maritimo 2-0 Arouca

While neither side can claim to be in good form, we still feel that Maritimo are clear favourites for this contest. The visitors' poor record in front of goal must improve quickly, but the home side should be able to negate their attack on Monday evening.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Maritimo vs Arouca

Maritimo
69.8%
Draw
27.9%
Arouca
2.3%
43
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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