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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jul 10, 2022 at 12am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Austin FC

Atlanta
0 - 3
Austin


Araujo (25')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Felipe (9'), Finlay (17'), Driussi (57')
Gallagher (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-3 Austin
Tuesday, July 5 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-2 Austin FC

Even though they always seem to leave it late, when Austin play with the kind of potency that we are seeing, it is difficult for any side to contain them. When you add to that the fact that the Five Stripes continuously suffer from at least one or two miscues each game, it would not be a surprise to see the Verde and Black win a fourth successive road fixture in what will be the first-ever meeting between both sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawAustin FC
60.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 17.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)43.97% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64%66.35% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.55% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.78% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)38.21% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)74.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 60.74%
    Austin FC 17.86%
    Draw 21.39%
Atlanta UnitedDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 60.74%
1-1 @ 10.12%
0-0 @ 5.36%
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.39%
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 17.86%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Austin

Atlanta United
Draw
Austin FC
Atlanta United
34.2%
Draw
10.5%
Austin FC
55.3%
38
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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