We said: Austin FC 2-1 Orlando City
Both of these teams have had strong starts to the season, showcasing why they are threats to win silverware at the end of the campaign.
This one should be a closely-fought contest because of that, but with Austin having the home advantage they head into the game as the favourites.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.