Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.