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Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
St Louis City

Austin
2 - 3
Saint Louis City

Driussi (45+4'), Gallagher (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Parker (24'), Stroud (78'), Klauss (86')
Ostrak (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Saint Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Austin
Sunday, October 30 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Saint Louis City

We said: Austin FC 3-1 Saint Louis City

 Expansion teams have been able to develop quickly in this league, but it still takes time to have the continuity needed to be successful, and we expect the learning curve will be a steep one for Saint Louis early on. Whether or not Austin have fixed its defensive issues remains unknown, but even so, this team know who they are and have numerous attacking weapons at their disposal.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. Saint Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 81.02%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Saint Louis City had a probability of 7.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.16%), while for a Saint Louis City win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawSaint Louis City
81.02% (0.028000000000006 0.03) 11.74% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02) 7.24% (-0.016100000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.15% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.3% (0.048000000000002 0.05)24.7% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.47% (0.065000000000005 0.07)44.52% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.39% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)4.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.2% (0.040999999999997 0.04)18.79% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Saint Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.4% (0.004999999999999 0)78.6% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 81.02%
    Saint Louis City 7.24%
    Draw 11.74%
Austin FCDrawSaint Louis City
3-0 @ 9.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 6.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 4.47% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.86% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 2.29% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.98% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
7-0 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 5.27%
Total : 81.02%
1-1 @ 5.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 1.95% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 11.74%
1-2 @ 2.23% (-0.004 -0)
0-1 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 7.24%

How you voted: Austin vs Saint Louis City

Austin FC
68.8%
Draw
6.3%
Saint Louis City
25.0%
32
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Austin FC
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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