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Major League Soccer
Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2022 at 3am UK
Empire Field
Austin FC

Vancouver
2 - 0
Austin

Gauld (7'), Cavallini (62')
Cavallini (90+1'), Blackmon (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Romana (18'), Ring (57'), Felipe (90+1'), Cascante (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Seattle
Sunday, September 18 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Austin FC

All competitions
Last Game: Austin 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, September 18 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Austin FC

 It appears as though Vancouver have got their act together, and with Cavallini back in the fold, we should see them come out very determined and aggressive this weekend, though it might still be too little too late for their playoff chances. With such a big cushion near the top the table, Austin have looked a little too comfortable and complacent of late, knowing that they are already assured of a home playoff game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawAustin FC
42.78% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 25.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 31.86% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.75% (0.094999999999999 0.09)48.24% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.6% (0.087000000000003 0.09)70.39% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.082999999999998 0.08)22.48% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.97% (0.125 0.13)56.03% (-0.125 -0.13)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 42.78%
    Austin FC 31.86%
    Draw 25.35%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.86%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Austin

Vancouver Whitecaps
30.0%
Draw
30.0%
Austin FC
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 1.30am
Austin
3-0
Vancouver
Urruti (11', 26'), Driussi (68')
Ring (35'), Gabrielsen (45+1'), Pereira (90')

Blackmon (25'), Cavallini (75'), White (90+3')
Sep 5, 2021 12am
Vancouver
2-1
Austin
Godoy (70'), Caicedo (83')
Caicedo (84')
Driussi (45')
Fagundez (7'), Kleemann (79')
Aug 19, 2021 2am
Austin
1-2
Vancouver
Ring (37')
Jimenez (55'), Besler (63')
Nerwinski (52'), White (74')
Dajome (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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