Major League Soccer

Sep 11, 2022 at 1am UK

CenturyLink Field

Seattle
3 - 0
Austin

Ruidiaz (12', 34'), Gabrielsen (68' og.)
Atencio (25'), Roldan (58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Valencia (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Seattle Sounders 1-2 Austin FC

For whatever reason, the Sounders have not been nearly as sharp or consistent at Lumen Field in 2022, losing five home matches this season, and one comeback victory is not enough to convince us that this team have resolved all of their issues. Keeping Driussi off the scoresheet for one game is quite an achievement given his form throughout the campaign, but he and his Austin teammates are rarely held in check for an extended period. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Seattle Sounders	Draw	Austin FC
59.95% ( 0.39)	21.48% ( -0.05)	18.57% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 54.21% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.8% (

-0.27)

43.2% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.4% (

-0.27)

65.6% (

0.27)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.99% (

0.03)

14.01% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.46% (

0.06)

41.54% (

-0.06)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.04% (

-0.53)

36.96% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.25% (

-0.53)

73.75% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Seattle Sounders 59.94%

Austin FC 18.57%

Draw 21.47%

Seattle Sounders	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 59.94%	1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.47%	0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.57%