Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match.