Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
58.08% | 22.42% | 19.5% |
Both teams to score 52.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.03% | 45.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.72% | 68.27% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.47% | 15.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.54% | 44.45% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.43% | 37.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.65% | 74.35% |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 6.15% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.4% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 5.71% 1-2 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.59% Total : 19.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |