Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New England Revolution in this match.