Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 80.47%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Charlotte Independence had a probability of 6.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.3%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Charlotte Independence win it was 0-1 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for DC United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for DC United.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Charlotte Independence |
80.47% | 12.87% | 6.66% |
Both teams to score 45.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.1% | 33.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.24% | 55.76% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.49% | 6.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.71% | 24.29% |
Charlotte Independence Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.94% | 51.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.62% | 85.38% |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Charlotte Independence |
2-0 @ 12.4% 3-0 @ 11.3% 1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 8.34% 4-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 7.6% 4-1 @ 5.19% 5-0 @ 4.22% 5-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.55% 6-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.74% 6-1 @ 1.29% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.31% Total : 80.46% | 1-1 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 3.32% 2-2 @ 2.8% Other @ 0.64% Total : 12.87% | 0-1 @ 2.23% 1-2 @ 2.05% Other @ 2.37% Total : 6.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |