Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | -11 | 25 |
9 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | -18 | 23 |
10 | DC United | 25 | -22 | 22 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 25 | 48 |
2 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 43 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 6 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
33.27% ( -0.41) | 25.83% ( 0.24) | 40.9% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 54.29% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.12% ( -1.13) | 49.88% ( 1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.13% ( -1.02) | 71.87% ( 1.02) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.55% ( -0.81) | 28.45% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.78% ( -1.03) | 64.22% ( 1.03) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% ( -0.41) | 24.12% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.57% ( -0.59) | 58.43% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.27% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |