Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 23 | 45 |
2 | CF Montreal | 24 | 3 | 40 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 24 | 6 | 37 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | New England Revolution | 23 | 1 | 30 |
6 | Chicago Fire | 24 | -3 | 30 |
7 | Toronto | 24 | -8 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
58.19% (![]() | 22.25% (![]() | 19.56% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.88% (![]() | 45.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.53% (![]() | 67.46% (![]() |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.79% (![]() | 15.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.15% (![]() | 43.84% (![]() |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.99% (![]() | 37.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.2% (![]() | 73.8% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 10.59% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.98% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.53% Total : 58.18% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.24% | 0-1 @ 5.59% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |