Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 48.37%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.