Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 60.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.