Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 80.26%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 7.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.65%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.93%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 2-1 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.