Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.