Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | New York Red Bulls | 20 | 7 | 33 |
3 | CF Montreal | 19 | 0 | 29 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 3 | 26 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Sporting Kansas City | 21 | -12 | 20 |
9 | Toronto | 20 | -12 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 18 | -15 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Toronto |
62.2% ( 2.91) | 20.46% ( -0.7) | 17.33% ( -2.21) |
Both teams to score 55.24% ( -1.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.34% ( -0.41) | 40.65% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.96% ( -0.42) | 63.04% ( 0.42) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.46% ( 0.72) | 12.53% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.44% ( 1.47) | 38.56% ( -1.47) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.15% ( -2.64) | 36.85% ( 2.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.37% ( -2.73) | 73.63% ( 2.73) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Toronto |
2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.7) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.66) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.43) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.59% Total : 62.2% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.46% | 1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.49) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.39% Total : 17.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |