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Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
Toronto FC

Montreal
1 - 0
Toronto

MacNaughton (69' og.)
Miller (57'), Brault-Guillard (87')
Miller (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bradley (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 1-2 Kansas
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-1 Toronto

Even without Mihailovic, Montreal should not have any problems finding a way through a defence who have conceded the second-most goals in MLS (38) and are not as great in attacking third on the road as they are at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawToronto
62.2% (2.908 2.91) 20.46% (-0.697 -0.7) 17.33% (-2.209 -2.21)
Both teams to score 55.24% (-1.834 -1.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.34% (-0.406 -0.41)40.65% (0.408 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.96% (-0.41699999999999 -0.42)63.04% (0.419 0.42)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.72 0.72)12.53% (-0.717 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.44% (1.471 1.47)38.56% (-1.467 -1.47)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (-2.638 -2.64)36.85% (2.642 2.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.37% (-2.728 -2.73)73.63% (2.732 2.73)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 62.2%
    Toronto 17.33%
    Draw 20.46%
CF MontrealDrawToronto
2-0 @ 9.96% (0.701 0.7)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.43 0.43)
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.657 0.66)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.192 0.19)
4-0 @ 3.58% (0.427 0.43)
4-1 @ 3.57% (0.193 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.213 0.21)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 62.2%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.363 -0.36)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.46%
1-2 @ 4.78% (-0.49 -0.49)
0-1 @ 4.61% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.253 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.294 -0.29)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 17.33%

How you voted: Montreal vs Toronto

CF Montreal
Draw
Toronto
CF Montreal
84.6%
Draw
3.8%
Toronto
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
1-1
Montreal
Altidore (90+5')
Mullins (6'), Okello (53'), Osorio (58'), Shaffelburg (64')
Sunusi (55')
Piette (58')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
3-1
Toronto
Piette (23'), Torres (68'), Quioto (75')
Struna (9'), Piette (34'), Camacho (47')
Achara (58')
Lawrence (60'), Gonzalez (74')
Okello (5')
Apr 17, 2021 7pm
Montreal
4-2
Toronto
Toye (3'), Quioto (24'), Wanyama (55'), Mihailovic (71')
Wanyama (67')
Delgado (45' pen.), Laryea (88')
Bradley (19'), Priso-Mbongue (45+1')
Sep 10, 2020 1am
Sep 2, 2020 1am
Toronto
0-1
Montreal

Pozuelo (59')
Camacho (14')
Camacho (45'), Brault-Guillard (46'), Wanyama (52'), Taider (88'), Maciel (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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