Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 1 | 18 |
7 | Toronto | 16 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | -12 | 16 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Houston Dynamo | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 1 | 18 |
7 | Toronto | 16 | -7 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Columbus Crew |
37.02% ( 0.01) | 25.47% ( -0.18) | 37.5% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 56.09% ( 0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.19% ( 0.82) | 47.81% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.01% ( 0.75) | 69.99% ( -0.75) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% ( 0.38) | 25.24% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.01% ( 0.53) | 59.99% ( -0.53) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% ( 0.47) | 24.98% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.38% ( 0.65) | 59.62% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Columbus Crew |
1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.74% Total : 37.02% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.78% Total : 37.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |