Major League Soccer

Jul 14, 2022 at 1am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
2 - 0
Toronto

Duran (4', 16')
Mueller (45+1'), Gutierrez (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

O'Neill (34'), MacNaughton (37'), Criscito (65'), Nelson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 10 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Sporting Kansas City	20	-12	19
9	Chicago Fire	19	-9	17
10	DC United	17	-15	17

We said: Chicago Fire 1-2 Toronto

Goals are to be expected on Thursday as this fixture has seen both teams score in 16 of the last 18 meetings. Toronto have a far superior record against Chicago and although they are conceding goals for fun so far this season, we feel that they have the firepower in attack to outscore their opponents and claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Toronto
54.64% ( 0.38)	24.12% ( -0.09)	21.25% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 50.14% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.23% (

0.02)

50.76% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.34% (

0.02)

72.66% (

-0.02)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52% (

0.15)

18.47% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.32% (

0.26)

49.68% (

-0.27)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.5% (

-0.29)

38.5% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.75% (

-0.27)

75.25% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 54.63%

Toronto 21.25%

Draw 24.11%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Toronto
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 54.63%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.11%	0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.25%