We said: Nashville SC 1-0 Real Salt Lake
RSL won the opening fixture between these sides in 2022 (2-1), but this is a different Nashville team who seem to be finding their footing, and when they are on, they are one of the most challenging sides to penetrate.
Claret and Cobalt have failed to score in four road fixtures this year and are still lacking a creative presence in the middle of the field.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.