We said: Real Salt Lake 2-1 Nashville SC
Salt Lake will be high in confidence after two consecutive wins and a late winner last weekend, and that should be enough to get past a side who could become defeated with the amount of away games at the beginning of this year.
The hosts are expected to show quality in the final third after netting three times last time out, while Nashville will want to improve on their performance against Dallas and offer a bigger attacking threat.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Salt Lake in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Salt Lake.