

Orlando City4 - 0Toronto
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, September 14 at 11.55pm in Major League Soccer
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | New York City FC | 31 | 13 | 46 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | -10 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 5 | 41 |
Sunday, September 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Chicago Fire | 31 | -9 | 35 |
7 | Toronto | 31 | -8 | 34 |
8 | Sporting Kansas City | 31 | -11 | 34 |
We said: Orlando City 2-1 Toronto
There may be more clinical finishers on the TFC side when compared to Orlando, but Toronto leave too many gaps in their third of the field and rely a little too heavily on their Italians to carry them through. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | Toronto |
55.01% (![]() | 22.66% (![]() | 22.32% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.25% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.63% (![]() | 43.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.24% (![]() | 65.76% (![]() |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.34% (![]() | 15.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.31% (![]() | 44.69% (![]() |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.69% (![]() | 33.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.07% (![]() | 69.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Orlando City | Draw | Toronto |
2-1 @ 9.86% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.67% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 55.02% | 1-1 @ 10.63% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.42% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 5.84% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.31% Total : 22.32% |