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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Toronto FC

Atlanta
4 - 2
Toronto

Sanchez (47', 62', 88'), Almada (74')
Hernandez (39'), Almada (45+1'), Mosquera (76'), Cisneros (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Akinola (52'), Bernardeschi (67' pen.)
Criscito (45+4'), Nelson (53'), Laryea (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 4 at 10.30pm in Major League Soccer

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-4 Montreal
Monday, September 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-3 Toronto

 Making the playoffs for both of these sides will be a long shot regardless of how this match ends up, though Toronto look consistently potent at the moment, showing a lot more quality in the final third than their opponents. Combine that with the off-field distractions plaguing Atlanta, and it is hard to envision them playing with the kind of focus you need in a match like this, not to mention trying to shut down an in form Toronto attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 56.19%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawToronto
56.19% (0.3 0.3) 21.83% (-0.126 -0.13) 21.99% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 58.66% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.04% (0.377 0.38)39.96% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.67% (0.39 0.39)62.32% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (0.221 0.22)14.11% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (0.432 0.43)41.74% (-0.43 -0.43)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (0.058000000000007 0.06)31.71% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.87% (0.065000000000001 0.07)68.13% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 56.19%
    Toronto 21.99%
    Draw 21.83%
Atlanta UnitedDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.15% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 56.19%
1-1 @ 10.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.47% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.14% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 21.99%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Toronto

Atlanta United
21.7%
Draw
26.1%
Toronto
52.2%
23
Head to Head
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Atlanta
Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
0-2
Atlanta

Achara (24'), Delgado (90+2')
Auro (83')
Araujo (45+2'), Moreno (90+7')
Rossetto (16'), Walkes (90+8')
Barco (84')
Aug 19, 2021 12am
Atlanta
1-0
Toronto
Barco (20')
Oct 19, 2020 12.30am
Toronto
1-0
Atlanta
Piatti (89')
Gonzalez (43')

Robinson (81')
rhs 2.0
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6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
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9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
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