Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.