Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.