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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
San Jose Earthquakes

Portland
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Niezgoda (53'), Asprilla (71')
van Rankin (39'), Chara (40'), Bravo (40'), Asprilla (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kikanovic (42')
Cardoso (49'), Remedi (53'), Yueill (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

Last Six:
Last Game: Portland 1-1 Vancouver
Monday, July 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

Last Six:
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Houston
Monday, July 18 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes

 Portland Timbers have been free-scoring this season, and that coupled with their impressive form at home is something that could lead to them being a great threat. The visitors have been struggling throughout this season, and while they will no doubt put up a fight this could be a job too far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
58.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 20.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.06% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.77% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.29% (0.0019999999999953 0)13.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.05% (0.0039999999999978 0)40.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)33.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)70.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 58.35%
    San Jose Earthquakes 20.18%
    Draw 21.48%
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 58.35%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.48%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 5.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 20.18%

How you voted: Portland vs Earthquakes

Portland Timbers
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
16
Head to Head
May 19, 2022 3.30am
Earthquakes
3-2
Portland
Yueill (31'), Monteiro (44', 80')
Remedi (59'), Lopez (66')
Paredes (18'), Tuiloma (56')
Zuparic (36'), Rasmussen (70'), Williamson (90+5')
Oct 28, 2021 3am
Portland
2-0
Earthquakes
Chara (34'), Asprilla (55')
Paredes (20'), Chara (27'), Asprilla (57')

Lopez (19'), Remedi (50')
Aug 5, 2021 3.30am
Portland
1-1
Earthquakes
Mora (45+6')
van Rankin (29'), Williamson (85'), Chara (90+2'), Blanco (90+6'), Mabiala (90+10')
Chara (90+3')
Lopez (24')
Salinas (90+6'), Cardoso (90+8'), Lopez (90+9')
May 16, 2021 3am
Earthquakes
0-2
Portland

Wondolowski (45+3')
Chara (5'), Loria (74')
Tuiloma (25'), Zuparic (42')
Oct 12, 2020 3am
Portland
3-0
Earthquakes
Niezgoda (46', 52'), Mora (86')
Williamson (18'), Farfan (29')

Beason (69'), Rios (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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