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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Houston Dynamo

Portland
2 - 1
Houston

Moreno (34' pen., 36')
Blanco (17'), Zuparic (27'), Moreno (42'), Tuiloma (54'), Williamson (72')
Tuiloma (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Quintero (65')
Rodriguez (21'), Zeca (34'), Hadebe (44'), Vera (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

Last Six:
Last Game: Portland 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, June 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

Last Six:
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Houston Dynamo

 Although Portland are currently two points adrift of their opponents in the Western Conference, they usually fare well in home meetings with Houston, and we think that they will edge out the visitors to claim consecutive victories for the first time this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
60.88% (-0.219 -0.22) 21.38% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 17.74% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 52.92% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.87% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)44.13% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.49% (-0.067 -0.07)66.51% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)14.02% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.43% (-0.177 -0.18)41.57% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.55% (0.133 0.13)38.45% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.8% (0.126 0.13)75.2% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 60.87%
    Houston Dynamo 17.74%
    Draw 21.38%
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-0 @ 10.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 60.87%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.38%
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.84% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.46% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 17.74%

How you voted: Portland vs Houston

Portland Timbers
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Houston Dynamo
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Houston
0-0
Portland

Hadebe (27')
Hadebe (75')

Paredes (16'), Blanco (27'), Chara (49'), Tuiloma (81')
Sep 4, 2021 1am
Houston
0-2
Portland

Parker (50')
Chara (15'), Mora (20' pen.)
Bravo (51'), Zambrano (86'), Mabiala (90+2')
Jun 24, 2021 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Portland
Picault (15'), Pasher (33')
Picault (59')
Asprilla (50'), Ebobisse (90+1')
Bonilla (38'), Mabiala (72'), Blanco (73')
Apr 25, 2021 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Houston
Asprilla (6'), Paredes (73')
Asprilla (26'), Bravo (39')
Paredes (28' og.)
Valentin (36'), Urruti (37')
Jul 26, 2020 3.30am
Portland
P-P
Houston
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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