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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Houston Dynamo

Portland
2 - 1
Houston

Moreno (34' pen., 36')
Blanco (17'), Zuparic (27'), Moreno (42'), Tuiloma (54'), Williamson (72')
Tuiloma (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Quintero (65')
Rodriguez (21'), Zeca (34'), Hadebe (44'), Vera (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

Last Six:
Last Game: Portland 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, June 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

Last Six:
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Houston Dynamo

 Although Portland are currently two points adrift of their opponents in the Western Conference, they usually fare well in home meetings with Houston, and we think that they will edge out the visitors to claim consecutive victories for the first time this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
60.88% (-0.219 -0.22) 21.38% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 17.74% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 52.92% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.87% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)44.13% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.49% (-0.067 -0.07)66.51% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)14.02% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.43% (-0.177 -0.18)41.57% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.55% (0.133 0.13)38.45% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.8% (0.126 0.13)75.2% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 60.87%
    Houston Dynamo 17.74%
    Draw 21.38%
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-0 @ 10.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 60.87%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.38%
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.84% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.46% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 17.74%

How you voted: Portland vs Houston

Portland Timbers
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Houston Dynamo
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Houston
0-0
Portland

Hadebe (27')
Hadebe (75')

Paredes (16'), Blanco (27'), Chara (49'), Tuiloma (81')
Sep 4, 2021 1am
Houston
0-2
Portland

Parker (50')
Chara (15'), Mora (20' pen.)
Bravo (51'), Zambrano (86'), Mabiala (90+2')
Jun 24, 2021 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Portland
Picault (15'), Pasher (33')
Picault (59')
Asprilla (50'), Ebobisse (90+1')
Bonilla (38'), Mabiala (72'), Blanco (73')
Apr 25, 2021 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Houston
Asprilla (6'), Paredes (73')
Asprilla (26'), Bravo (39')
Paredes (28' og.)
Valentin (36'), Urruti (37')
Jul 26, 2020 3.30am
Portland
P-P
Houston
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami5410115613
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia6402138512
3Columbus Crew633084412
4Chicago Fire63211310311
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC6312106410
6Nashville SCNashville631295410
7Orlando City63121512310
8FC CincinnatiCincinnati631289-110
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls62227618
10New York City FCNY City62229908
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta62221011-18
12DC United6132811-36
13New England RevolutionNew England511336-34
14Toronto6024612-62
15CF MontrealMontreal6024310-72

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver6411105513
2Austin FCAustin640253212
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd632196311
4Colorado RapidsColorado632187111
5Portland TimbersPortland631298110
6Dallas631299010
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles630389-19
8St Louis City62224228
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes62139907
10Seattle SoundersSeattle61328806
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake6204511-66
12Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy6024512-72
13Houston DynamoHouston6024411-72
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas6015612-61
15San Diego FC00000000
> Full Version


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