Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.