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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
May 14, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Vancouver Whitecaps

Portland
3 - 1
Vancouver

Boli (2'), Evander (18', 54')
McGraw (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
McGraw (24' og.)
Brown (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Portland 2-2 Austin
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 3-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

 Matches between these two are traditionally fairly close, and we do not expect it to be any different on Saturday as they have both shown plenty of commitment and spirit following a difficult start to the season for each.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. Vancouver Whitecaps and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawVancouver Whitecaps
48.2% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 23.43% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 28.37% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.69% (-0.128 -0.13)41.31% (0.132 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29% (-0.13 -0.13)63.71% (0.131 0.13)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.64% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)17.35% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.25% (-0.111 -0.11)47.75% (0.113 0.11)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)27.42% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)62.89% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 48.2%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 28.37%
    Draw 23.42%
Portland TimbersDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 48.2%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.98% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.37%

How you voted: Portland vs Vancouver

Portland Timbers
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Vancouver Whitecaps
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 3.30am
Vancouver
1-0
Portland
White (74')
Blackmon (39'), Sartini (40'), White (90'), Berhalter (90+3')

Zuparic (48'), Moreno (53'), Ayala (90+1')
Jul 18, 2022 3.30am
Portland
1-1
Vancouver
Mora (81' pen.)
van Rankin (44'), Zuparic (84'), Blanco (90')
White (33')
Cavallini (46'), Raposo (48')
Apr 10, 2022 3am
Vancouver
2-3
Portland
Dajome (76'), Gauld (90+6' pen.)
Asprilla (42' pen.), Niezgoda (60'), Chara (78')
Mabiala (6'), van Rankin (17'), Asprilla (43'), Bravo (90+3')
Oct 21, 2021 3am
gameweek 41
Portland
2-3
Vancouver
Chara (15'), Asprilla (42')
Paredes (90+2')
Caicedo (63'), White (75'), Dajome (82' pen.)
White (90+2')
Sep 11, 2021 3am
gameweek 29
Vancouver
0-1
Portland

Bikel (29'), Dajome (58')
Veselinovic (66' og.)
Moreno (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
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9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
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11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
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4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
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