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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Austin FC

Portland
2 - 2
Austin

Zuparic (33'), Bravo (71')
Boli (40'), Bravo (56'), Zuparic (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gallagher (59'), Bruin (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: St Louis City 1-2 Portland
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Austin FC

All competitions
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Austin FC

 After a slow start to the season, Austin FC will set out in search of a pick-me-up as they look to get their season up and running. However, they face a Portland side who have settled and hit their stride in recent weeks. Austin have lost their last three away matches and we predict this run will continue with the Timbers prevailing in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. Austin FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawAustin FC
56.96% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02) 23.12% (0.012 0.01) 19.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.23% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)48.31% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.038 -0.04)70.46% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)16.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.35% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)46.65% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.52% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)38.47% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)75.22% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 56.94%
    Austin FC 19.92%
    Draw 23.11%
Portland TimbersDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.0019999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 56.94%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.11%
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 19.92%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 3.51am
Austin
1-2
Portland
Driussi (79')
Urruti (30')
Tuiloma (16'), McGraw (73')
Mar 13, 2022 3am
Portland
1-0
Austin
Tuiloma (62')
Chara (53'), Paredes (57'), Blanco (90+6')

Dominguez (49'), Driussi (50'), Kolmanic (50'), Pereira (60'), Valencia (90+5')
Nov 7, 2021 11pm
gameweek 44
Portland
3-0
Austin
Paredes (17'), Niezgoda (45+1'), Blanco (53')

Berhalter (47')
Aug 22, 2021 2am
gameweek 28
Austin
3-1
Portland
Dominguez (11' pen.), Fagundez (14'), Driussi (29')
Pochettino (83')
Asprilla (55')
Zuparic (64')
Jul 2, 2021 2.30am
gameweek 15
Austin
4-1
Portland
Gallagher (28'), Fagundez (33'), Ring (77'), Jimenez (81')
Kolmanic (44'), Pochettino (45+1')
Ebobisse (45+7')
Tuiloma (45+5'), Asprilla (68'), Zuparic (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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