Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Portland Timbers |
46.57% ( 0.53) | 23.31% ( 0.03) | 30.11% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 61.62% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.32% ( -0.44) | 39.68% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.97% ( -0.46) | 62.03% ( 0.46) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.65% ( 0.03) | 17.35% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.26% ( 0.06) | 47.73% ( -0.07) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.55% ( -0.57) | 25.44% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.73% ( -0.79) | 60.27% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Portland Timbers |
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.01% Total : 46.57% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |