Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.