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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
1 - 3
San Diego

Piol (17')
Ojeda (69'), Cabral (75'), Glad (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Negri (43'), Dreyer (90+1'), Ingvartsen (90+6')
Tverskov (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and San Diego, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Seattle
Saturday, March 1 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: San Diego 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, March 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Real Salt Lake 1-1 San Diego

With each team having already posted a win, there will be an element of confidence with both sides. On that note, we are going to sit on the fence and predict a hard-fought draw, a result that will not be negatively received by either head coach at this stage of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 91.79%. A draw had a probability of 6% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 2.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.61%) and 2-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.86%), while for a San Diego win it was 0-1 (0.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawSan Diego
91.79% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46) 6.04% (0.334 0.33) 2.17% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 38.63% (-0.27 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.55% (-1.167 -1.17)21.45% (1.164 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.87% (-1.638 -1.64)40.13% (1.635 1.64)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.43% (-0.212 -0.21)2.56% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.04% (-0.782 -0.78)11.96% (0.779 0.78)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.64% (-0.192 -0.19)60.36% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.17% (-0.099 -0.1)90.83% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 91.77%
    San Diego 2.17%
    Draw 6.04%
Real Salt LakeDrawSan Diego
3-0 @ 12.68% (0.25 0.25)
4-0 @ 11.61% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.38% (0.425 0.43)
5-0 @ 8.51% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-1 @ 6.4% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 5.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 5.24% (0.186 0.19)
6-0 @ 5.2% (-0.265 -0.27)
5-1 @ 4.3% (-0.144 -0.14)
7-0 @ 2.72% (-0.206 -0.21)
6-1 @ 2.62% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
7-1 @ 1.37% (-0.113 -0.11)
8-0 @ 1.25% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 91.77%
1-1 @ 2.86% (0.165 0.17)
0-0 @ 1.55% (0.131 0.13)
2-2 @ 1.32% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 6.04%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 2.17%

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