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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Earthquakes
4 - 0
Salt Lake

Ricketts (28'), Rodrigues (70'), Bouda (74'), Costa (83')
Espinoza (73'), Harkes (81'), Kaye (87'), Brito (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Katranis (54'), Luna (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Herediano 0-0 Salt Lake
Wednesday, February 19 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Real Salt Lake

San Jose Earthquakes will be lifted by the fans in their first competitive match under Arena's management, and with Salt Lake having an unfavourable record at the Avaya Stadium, we believe the hosts will scrape a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
41.06% (0.351 0.35) 24.25% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 34.69% (-0.303 -0.3)
Both teams to score 60.15% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.58% (0.166 0.17)42.42% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.17% (0.167 0.17)64.82% (-0.167 -0.17)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (0.233 0.23)20.8% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (0.367 0.37)53.46% (-0.368 -0.37)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)24.04% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68% (-0.131 -0.13)58.31% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 41.06%
    Real Salt Lake 34.69%
    Draw 24.25%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.23% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 41.06%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.69%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-1
Salt Lake
Luna (78')
Katranis (45'), Julio (53'), Julio (85'), MacMath (90+5'), Glad (90+5')
Aug 25, 2024 2.30am
Sep 17, 2023 3.30am
Apr 23, 2023 2.30am
Jul 31, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-2
Salt Lake
Espinoza (12' pen.), Ebobisse (62')
Espinoza (45+2'), Yueill (85'), Covelo (86'), Gregus (90+5')
Loffelsend (21'), Savarino (90+5')
Glad (12'), MacMath (15'), Chang (37'), Savarino (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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