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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Nov 4, 2023 at 11pm UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
FC Cincinnati

NY Red Bulls
1 - 1
Cincinnati

Barlow (45')
Lesesne (40'), Barlow (41'), Reyes (55')
Lesesne (0')
FT
(aet)
Boupendza (75')
Arias (39'), Mosquera (75'), Miazga (90+10'), Miazga (98')
NY Red Bulls win 8-7 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY Red Bulls
Monday, October 30 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY Red Bulls
Monday, October 30 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We say: New York Red Bulls 0-1 FC Cincinnati

Even with their backs against the wall, we expect the Red Bulls to be patient and passive in this must-win fixture, but we do not believe it will be enough to get the better of a Cincinnati side that did not appear to feel the pressure of being the top seed, while they are more than accustomed to winning close games.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%).

Result
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
50.77% (0.095999999999997 0.1) 24.05% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 25.17% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.01% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (0.125 0.13)46.6% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (0.115 0.11)68.87% (-0.116 -0.12)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (0.085999999999999 0.09)18.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (0.142 0.14)49.51% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (0.016000000000005 0.02)32.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (0.021999999999998 0.02)69.15% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 50.77%
    FC Cincinnati 25.18%
    Draw 24.05%
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.77%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.18%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati

New York Red Bulls
Draw
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
11.8%
Draw
23.5%
FC Cincinnati
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2023 12am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY Red Bulls
Barreal (23', 89'), Acosta (35')
Miazga (33'), Barreal (52'), Boupendza (74')

Manoel (76'), Amaya (90')
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Fernandez (28' pen.)
Ndam (3'), Edelman (45+1'), Vanzeir (64')
Acosta (80' pen.), Nwobodo (90+3')
Pinto (19'), Santos (62'), Ordonez (71')
May 24, 2023
12.30am
Oct 15, 2022 5pm
First Round
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Morgan (48')
Acosta (74' pen.), Vazquez (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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