Major League Soccer

Nov 4, 2023 at 11pm UK

Red Bull Arena, Harrison

NY Red Bulls
1 - 1
Cincinnati

Barlow (45')
Lesesne (40'), Barlow (41'), Reyes (55')
Lesesne (0')

FT
(aet)

Boupendza (75')
Arias (39'), Mosquera (75'), Miazga (90+10'), Miazga (98')

NY Red Bulls win 8-7 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY Red Bulls
Monday, October 30 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY Red Bulls
Monday, October 30 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We say: New York Red Bulls 0-1 FC Cincinnati

Even with their backs against the wall, we expect the Red Bulls to be patient and passive in this must-win fixture, but we do not believe it will be enough to get the better of a Cincinnati side that did not appear to feel the pressure of being the top seed, while they are more than accustomed to winning close games.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%).

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	FC Cincinnati
50.77% ( 0.1)	24.05% ( -0.04)	25.17% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 55.01% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.4% (

0.13)

46.6% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.13% (

0.11)

68.87% (

-0.12)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.62% (

0.09)

18.38% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

0.14)

49.51% (

-0.14)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.39% (

0.02)

32.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.85% (

0.02)

69.15% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 50.77%

FC Cincinnati 25.18%

Draw 24.05%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.77%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.05%	0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.18%