Cincinnati3 - 0NY Red Bulls
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
for
Thursday, October 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 New York Red Bulls
Given FC Cincinnati's firepower, we do not believe the Red Bulls will be nearly as aggressive on Sunday as they were against Charlotte earlier this week. The Red Bulls' strength still lies in their defensive shape, but the Orange and Blue know how to win close encounters, and we expect them to eventually break through this weekend.How to watch
You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
50.36% ( 0.86) | 25.21% ( 0.03) | 24.43% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 50.65% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.02% ( -0.84) | 51.98% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.28% ( -0.73) | 73.72% ( 0.73) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% ( 0.02) | 20.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.77% ( 0.03) | 53.23% ( -0.03) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -1.23) | 36.16% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.05% ( -1.28) | 72.95% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.6% 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.43% |
