Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
50.36% (![]() | 25.21% (![]() | 24.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.02% (![]() | 51.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.28% (![]() | 73.72% (![]() |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.35% (![]() | 20.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.77% (![]() | 53.23% (![]() |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.84% (![]() | 36.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.05% (![]() | 72.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 11.78% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 11.98% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.81% ( ![]() Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.6% 1-2 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |