MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:21:35| >> :60:158:158:
New York Red Bulls
MLS Playoffs | First Round
Oct 15, 2022 at 5pm UK
Red Bull Arena
FC Cincinnati

NY Red Bulls
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Morgan (48')
Amaya (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Acosta (74' pen.), Vazquez (86')
Miazga (28'), Hagglund (45'), Santos (90+9'), Gaddis (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-5 Cincinnati
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-3 FC Cincinnati

New York have been much better on the road than at home this year, and while experience favours the home side, we expect their top-notch backline will have a hard time dealing with Cincy's dynamic duo, who are in fine form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
58.12% (-0.012 -0.01) 22.02%19.86% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.65% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)43.7% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)14.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.11% (0.013999999999996 0.01)35.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (0.016999999999999 0.02)72.66% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 58.12%
    FC Cincinnati 19.86%
    Draw 22.02%
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.34%
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.03%
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 58.12%
1-1 @ 10.38%
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.32% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 19.86%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
TBC
81.8%
11
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 11pm
Jul 10, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Vazquez (20')
Blackett (2'), Cruz (30'), Kubo (90+1')
Cruz (58'), Acosta (90+3')
Morgan (29' pen.)
Tolkin (30'), Edwards (45'), Long (90+3')
Oct 3, 2021 12.30am
Aug 5, 2021 1am
NY Red Bulls
0-0
Cincinnati

Tarek (23'), Yearwood (88')

Cruz (32'), Barreal (70'), Kubo (77')
Sep 20, 2020 12am
NY Red Bulls
0-1
Cincinnati

Long (8'), Nealis (29'), Casseres Jr (55')
Medunjanin (85')
Stanko (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!