Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 at 12.30am UK
CityPark
We said: St Louis City 1-0 Seattle Sounders
Reeling from their Champions Cup heartbreak, Seattle Sounders will head into Sunday looking to bounce back and put together a strong run of form in the league. However, St Louis have proven tough to crack this season and we are backing them to come away with the desired result in front of their home supporters.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 37.8% . A win for St Louis City had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (5.95%) . The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Louis City in this match.
Result St Louis City Draw Seattle Sounders 37.13% ( -0.1) 25.06% ( -0.03) 37.8% ( 0.12)
Both teams to score 57.54% ( 0.09)
54.06% ( 0.12) 45.93% ( -0.13)
31.75% ( 0.12) 68.24% ( -0.12)
75.67% ( 0) 24.32% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.29% ( 0.01) 58.7% ( -0.01)
76.03% ( 0.12) 23.96% ( -0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.8% ( 0.17) 58.19% ( -0.17)
St Louis City 37.13%
Seattle Sounders 37.8%
Draw 25.06%
St Louis City Draw Seattle Sounders 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.13% 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 37.8%
How you voted: St Louis City vs Seattle
St Louis City
Draw
Seattle Sounders
5
rhs 2.0
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