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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
Mar 8, 2025 at 9.45pm UK
CenturyLink Field
Los Angeles FC

Seattle
5 - 2
Los Angeles

Kossa-Rienzi (11'), Rothrock (57'), Morris (77'), Roldan (84'), Rusnak (90+4', 90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ordaz (37'), Martinez (90+2')
Burgess (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Cruz Azul
Thursday, March 6 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Columbus Crew
Wednesday, March 5 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Seattle Sounders 1-2 Los Angeles FC

Goals have been a given when these two teams meet, and we expect this weekend's clash to be no exception. However, we can just about see Los Angeles FC doing enough to take home all three points when all is said and done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawLos Angeles FC
47.49% (-0.468 -0.47) 24.43% (0.138 0.14) 28.08% (0.337 0.34)
Both teams to score 56.33% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (-0.382 -0.38)46.04% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.66% (-0.365 -0.36)68.34% (0.369 0.37)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)19.47% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (-0.565 -0.57)51.34% (0.571 0.57)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (0.050999999999988 0.05)30.05% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82% (0.059999999999995 0.06)66.18% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 47.49%
    Los Angeles FC 28.08%
    Draw 24.43%
Seattle SoundersDrawLos Angeles FC
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.27% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 47.49%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.124 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.08%

How you voted: Seattle vs Los Angeles

Seattle Sounders
9.1%
Draw
36.4%
Los Angeles FC
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 3.30am
MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
Los Angeles
1-2
Seattle
Hollingshead (50')
Chanot (42'), Bogusz (77')
Chanot (59' og.), Morris (109')
Gomez Andrade (95'), Paulo (112')
Aug 18, 2024 1am
Quarter-Finals
Seattle
0-3
Los Angeles

Roldan (60')
Hollingshead (14'), Kamara (25'), Bouanga (53')
Jul 21, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
0-3
Los Angeles

Tolo (14'), Paulo (45+9'), Rothrock (55')
Bouanga (16' pen., 74'), Bogusz (26')
Bogusz (62'), Murillo (85')
Feb 24, 2024 9.30pm
Los Angeles
2-1
Seattle
Tillman (45'), Bogusz (55')
Long (72'), Tillman (89')
De la Vega (73' pen.)
Roldan (37'), Tolo (66')
Nov 27, 2023 2.30am
Seattle
0-1
Los Angeles

Tolo (20'), Atencio (40'), Paulo (66')
Bouanga (30')
Crepeau (84'), Palacios (86'), Chiellini (90')
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