Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.24%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.57%) and 1-0 (7.39%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.