Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.