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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Cincinnati
6 - 0
Earthquakes

Barreal (45'), Brenner (47', 90', 90+5' pen.), Acosta (71' pen.), Kubo (77')
Cameron (57'), Brenner (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Monteiro (8'), Cardoso (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Cincinnati
Thursday, September 8 at 1am in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

Last Six:
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-0 Vancouver
Monday, September 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes

 Both teams play aggressively with plenty of attacking intent, so we expect they will each have their share of scoring opportunities and be able to find the back of the net, given the calibre of strikers each team possesses. The Orange and Blue have been more consistent this year and have a little more attacking depth than their opponents, which should compensate for their defensive deficiencies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
47.89% (0.673 0.67) 23.73% (-0.114 -0.11) 28.38% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 58.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27% (0.155 0.16)42.73% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86% (0.154 0.15)65.13% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (0.324 0.32)18.02% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (0.559 0.56)48.9% (-0.564 -0.56)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (-0.31200000000001 -0.31)28.14% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-0.395 -0.39)63.82% (0.391 0.39)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 47.89%
    San Jose Earthquakes 28.38%
    Draw 23.73%
FC CincinnatiDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.45% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 47.89%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 28.38%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Earthquakes

FC Cincinnati
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
San Jose Earthquakes
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2020 10pm
Cincinnati
P-P
Earthquakes
May 5, 2019 3am
Earthquakes
1-0
Cincinnati
Lima (22')
Salinas (13'), Espinoza (15'), Lima (29')
Espinoza (51')

Stanko (6'), Lasso (31'), Alashe (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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