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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
San Jose Earthquakes

Seattle
2 - 2
Earthquakes

Morris (21', 39')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pellegrino (16'), Marie (89')
Lopez (20'), Espinoza (38'), Gruezo (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 2-0 Kansas
Monday, September 16 at 12.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 2-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes

Seattle Sounders are flying at the moment, while San Jose Earthquakes have shown no signs of a much-needed renaissance, and we fully expect the home team to emerge victorious in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
65.53% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 18.65% (0.0020000000000024 0) 15.82% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.41% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.06% (0.0040000000000049 0)34.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.08% (0.0039999999999978 0)56.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.01% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)9.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.99% (0.0020000000000024 0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.89% (0.010999999999996 0.01)35.11% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.14% (0.010999999999999 0.01)71.86% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 65.53%
    San Jose Earthquakes 15.82%
    Draw 18.65%
Seattle SoundersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 9.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.08% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.31%
4-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.99%
5-0 @ 1.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 65.53%
1-1 @ 8.46%
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.65%
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 3.67%
0-2 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 15.82%

How you voted: Seattle vs Earthquakes

Seattle Sounders
76.0%
Draw
16.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2024 2.30am
Earthquakes
3-2
Seattle
Costa (42'), Espinoza (43'), Ebobisse (82')
Kikanovic (70'), Skahan (90+3')
Ruidiaz (72' pen.), Musovski (81')
Teves (52'), Ragen (64')
Jul 13, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-0
Seattle
Espinoza (19' pen.), Trauco (64')

Tolo (41'), Chu (45+4')
Jun 1, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
0-1
Earthquakes

Roldan (19'), Ragen (43'), Atencio (87')
Ebobisse (48')
Marie (66'), Yueill (77')
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
Apr 24, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
4-3
Seattle
Espinoza (45+2', 64', 90+4' pen.), Yueill (65')
Lodeiro (14' pen.), Roldan (20'), Morris (57')
rhs 2.0
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