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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
Luton Town

Sunderland
2 - 0
Luton

Le Fee (13'), Isidor (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fanne (54'), Johnson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Watford
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Luton
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Luton Town

Sunderland are one of two teams yet to lose a Championship home game this season, and we think that they will maintain that record by claiming a narrow win over Luton side that have lost 11 of their last 12 away league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawLuton Town
58.53% (0.348 0.35) 23.13% (-0.219 -0.22) 18.34% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 48.55% (0.423 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46% (0.684 0.68)50.54% (-0.681 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54% (0.602 0.6)72.46% (-0.599 -0.6)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (0.369 0.37)16.97% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.92% (0.648 0.65)47.08% (-0.645 -0.64)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.47% (0.25299999999999 0.25)41.53% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (0.221 0.22)78.03% (-0.218 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 58.52%
    Luton Town 18.34%
    Draw 23.13%
SunderlandDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 12.5% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 11.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.91% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.038 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 58.52%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 18.34%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Luton

Sunderland
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Luton Town
8.3%
84
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Luton
1-2
Sunderland
Adebayo (63')
Holmes (90+8'), O'Nien (90+8')
Rigg (55'), Mundle (66')
Rigg (29'), Patterson (74'), Bellingham (90+8'), Morris (90+8')
May 16, 2023 8pm
Luton
2-0
Sunderland
Osho (10'), Lockyer (43')
Clark (18'), Ruddock (90+4')

O'Nien (30'), Alese (90+5')
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Diallo (39'), Hume (63')
Neill (16'), O'Nien (30'), Diallo (84')
Adebayo (11')
Nakamba (29'), Ruddock (38'), Doughty (73'), Clark (77')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Diallo (86' pen.)
Doughty (51')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Morris (45+2')
Embleton (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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