Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
50.3% ( -0) | 23.5% | 26.2% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.86% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.71% ( 0.01) | 43.29% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.32% ( 0.01) | 65.68% ( -0.01) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.69% | 17.31% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.34% ( 0) | 47.66% |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.97% ( 0.01) | 30.03% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.85% ( 0.01) | 66.15% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.62% 3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.89% Total : 50.3% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-1 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.12% Total : 26.2% |