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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
May 29, 2022 at 12am UK
BMO Field
Chicago Fire

Toronto
3 - 2
Chicago Fire

Kerr (13'), Pozuelo (71' pen., 78')
Pozuelo (31'), Westberg (87'), Priso-Mbongue (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Teran (52'), Przybylko (66')
Przybylko (62'), Shaqiri (75'), Teran (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2- 1 Chicago Fire

Mistakes have plagued both of these teams so far this season, but Toronto have shown a lot more fight than Chicago over their slump, while they seem to have more chemistry than the Fire, which we believe will be enough to earn them their first victory since April. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawChicago Fire
46.48% (-0.107 -0.11) 25% (0.0010000000000012 0) 28.52% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 54.73% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.73% (0.067 0.07)48.27% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.58% (0.061 0.06)70.42% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)20.81% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)53.47% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (0.11499999999999 0.11)30.88% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83% (0.136 0.14)67.17% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 46.47%
    Chicago Fire 28.52%
    Draw 25%
TorontoDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.47%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.52%

How you voted: Toronto vs Chicago Fire

Toronto
Draw
Chicago Fire
Toronto
69.2%
Draw
19.2%
Chicago Fire
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
Toronto
3-1
Chicago Fire
Delgado (44'), Gonzalez (56'), Soteldo (70')
Soteldo (9'), Laryea (89')
Beric (16')
Offor (87')
Jul 25, 2021 1am
Sep 29, 2019 10pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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