Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vancouver Whitecaps.