We said: Chicago Fire 0-2 FC Cincinnati
Both of these teams are enjoying vastly different seasons right now, and because of that they should be heading into the match with opposing levels of confidence.
Chicago Fire could end up at the foot of the table with a defeat, and the visitors should be able to secure a routine win on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.