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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Toronto FC

Cincinnati
2 - 0
Toronto

Harris (2'), Acosta (57' pen.)
Nwobodo (59'), Blackett (75'), Barreal (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nelson (12')
Priso-Mbongue (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-2 Toronto

For whatever reason, Cincinnati seem to struggle at home and are not quite as sharp on the ball over 90 minutes. Although Toronto have struggled on the road, we expect Bradley and his young team to make the proper tactical adjustments in this one as they have done an excellent job at learning from past mistakes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
40.64%24.92%34.44%
Both teams to score 57.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41%45.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09%67.91%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63%22.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14%55.85%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.58%
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 40.64%
    Toronto 34.44%
    Draw 24.92%
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
2-1 @ 8.76%
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.64%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-1 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.44%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Toronto

FC Cincinnati
Draw
Toronto
FC Cincinnati
39.0%
Draw
17.1%
Toronto
43.9%
41
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Sep 30, 2021 12am
Toronto
3-2
Cincinnati
Shaffelburg (48'), Delgado (55'), Achara (65')
Achara (59'), Soteldo (76'), Marshall-Rutty (90')
Matarrita (38'), Acosta (72')
Valot (32'), Castillo (41'), Vallecilla (59'), Stanko (74')
Sep 12, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
2-0
Toronto
Brenner (39'), Medunjanin (58')
Medunjanin (45+3'), Cameron (50'), Vallecilla (84'), Valot (85')

Morrow (37')
Jun 27, 2021 12am
Toronto
0-2
Cincinnati

Bradley (33')
Cruz (4'), Acosta (68')
Kubo (38'), Matarrita (62'), Cruz (78')
Oct 12, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
Toronto

Gutman (66'), Hagglund (67')
Mullins (29')
Gonzalez (9'), Osorio (21'), Ciman (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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