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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Toronto FC

Cincinnati
2 - 0
Toronto

Harris (2'), Acosta (57' pen.)
Nwobodo (59'), Blackett (75'), Barreal (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nelson (12')
Priso-Mbongue (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-2 Toronto

 For whatever reason, Cincinnati seem to struggle at home and are not quite as sharp on the ball over 90 minutes. Although Toronto have struggled on the road, we expect Bradley and his young team to make the proper tactical adjustments in this one as they have done an excellent job at learning from past mistakes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
40.64%24.92%34.44%
Both teams to score 57.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41%45.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09%67.91%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63%22.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14%55.85%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.58%
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 40.64%
    Toronto 34.44%
    Draw 24.92%
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
2-1 @ 8.76%
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.64%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-1 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.44%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Toronto

FC Cincinnati
39.0%
Draw
17.1%
Toronto
43.9%
41
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Toronto
1-2
Cincinnati
Jimenez (65')
Achara (86')
Murphy (44'), Acosta (52')
Powell (50')
Sep 30, 2021 12am
Toronto
3-2
Cincinnati
Shaffelburg (48'), Delgado (55'), Achara (65')
Achara (59'), Soteldo (76'), Marshall-Rutty (90')
Matarrita (38'), Acosta (72')
Valot (32'), Castillo (41'), Vallecilla (59'), Stanko (74')
Sep 12, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
2-0
Toronto
Brenner (39'), Medunjanin (58')
Medunjanin (45+3'), Cameron (50'), Vallecilla (84'), Valot (85')

Morrow (37')
Jun 27, 2021 12am
Toronto
0-2
Cincinnati

Bradley (33')
Cruz (4'), Acosta (68')
Kubo (38'), Matarrita (62'), Cruz (78')
Oct 12, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
Toronto

Gutman (66'), Hagglund (67')
Mullins (29')
Gonzalez (9'), Osorio (21'), Ciman (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218
> Full Version


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